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It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning. Henry Ford


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The idea that you know what is true is dangerous, for it keeps you imprisoned in the mind. It is when you do not know, that you are free to investigate. ~ Nisargadatta Maharaj


Saturday 12 November 2011

XLF

could rally further to the 200 dma but the trend is down

 

3 comments:

  1. From March to July of 09 the 200 day was sloping down too. Not sure of the point that is trying to be made. If one waits for it to turn up they will have missed many market turns. As an aside, I am bearish long term. I just don't see how the slope of the 200 day is meaningful unless combined with other analysis. Maybe a few other bearish indicators to confirm the slope of the 200 day would make for a bit more powerful post. JMO.

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  2. well we also have a double top and broke the intervening swing low so all in all not an inspiring picture.I posted some more immediately bearish charts eg BARC,RBS.I looked at XLF because I saw John Person was bullish and wanted to see if I was missing something

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  3. normally if the 200 dma turns down after a bearish pattern break (eg HnS or double top) it is pretty reliable.(similarly if it turns up after a bullish pattern break)

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